Paul vs. Chavez Jr: Can Julio Derail Jake Paul?
By Chris Carlson
PhilBoxing.com
Sat, 28 Jun 2025
It’s hard to believe that Jake Paul entered the pro ranks at the beginning of 2020. Over 5 years has passed and say what you want about Paul, he has made a dent in boxing for better or worse. To be fair on the promoter side Jake and his team has done a great job getting boxing on Netflix, not once but twice. Sure, Mike Tyson was a great dancing partner and yes, the fight sucked but Paul as a promoter has put on some good fights overall and invested in women's boxing. Jake squaring off against faded MMA names was a gimmick that grabbed the attention of combat sports fans. Names like Anderson Silva, Nate Diaz, and Tryon Woodley were perfect opponents to help sell the event.
Lots of UFC fans swore up and down their guy would represent the MMA sport well by taking out this smart-ass youngster. Only for the ‘bad guy’ to get the last laugh by soundly defeating said foe in most cases. Jake made quick work of Ben Askren, then had a split-decision victory over Woodley. In the rematch with Tyron, Jake Paul left no stone unturned as to who won their first meeting by scoring a nasty stoppage. Obviously, both Nate Diaz and Anderson Silva were beyond washed as fighters at the time Jake beat them. Even so, many folks would turn around and take credit away from Jake even though they thought Jake Paul would lose.
Funny thing is when Jake finally did step up and fought a real professional boxer, he looked bad in a decision loss to Tyson Fury’s younger brother Tommy. Now here we are Jake is matched with a former name in the sport Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. They do have a common opponent in Anderson Silva. Chavez Jr looked horrible in a split decision loss to Silva just over 4 years ago. Julio’s most recent bout came via 6 round win over for MMA fighter Uriah Hall in July of 2024. The main question we must get to, how over the hill is junior?
In 2019 Chavez Jr quit on the stool versus Danny Jacobs in his last meaningful bout. Outside of the ring lifestyle caught up to Chavez long ago so can we really take him seriously? Yes, this boxing podcaster would easily pick Julio to beat Jake Paul if he was anywhere remotely close to his prime. With too many unknowns about a 39-year-old who hasn’t taken all his fights seriously, makes it difficult to pick him. However, if you feel like Jake Paul will get beat Julio is sitting around +425 to +475 underdog. If you’re taking out a flyer just in case Chavez wins you could match it with –129 Jake by decision or +157 Jake by KO.
My Official Prediction is Jake Paul by decision.
Side Note: Keep an eye on the undercard which features an entertaining matchup between Gilberto Ramirez and Yuniel Dorticos. Along with highly interesting fight matching Floyd Schofield and Tevin Farmer. My Picks: Ramirez by Dec and Minor Upset by Farmer by Dec.
PODCAST LINK: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-rope-a-dope-radio-podcast/id1794655742?i=1000713483423
Written by Chris Carlson Host/Producer of The Rope A Dope Radio Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Spreaker, I-Heart Radio, Amazon Podcasts, Google Podcasts & More! Follow on Twitter @RopeADopeRadio
Click here to view a list of other articles written by Chris Carlson.
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