Taylor vs. Serrano Trilogy: Can Amanda Get The Nod?
By Chris Carlson
PhilBoxing.com
Sat, 12 Jul 2025
This Friday night live streaming on Netflix from the world-famous Madison Square Garden Areana the trilogy takes place between Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano. Both fights have more than lived up to the hype and this boxing podcaster sees no reason the third installment of this rivalry won’t be a banger once again. One can make an argument for Amanda Serrano getting the nod in at least one of these entertaining engagements. You can possibly even say a draw would be fair as well. Regardless of Katie Taylor getting decisions in back-to-back scraps, Amanda Serrano is a slight favorite heading into the trilogy.
As a long time boxing fan this modern generation of fandom love to scream robbery any chance they get. Maybe it’s the social media climate we live in, and people are just trying to gander attention. Regardless the rule of thumb is a competitive closely fought bout can’t be labeled as a robbery. That said I do think Katie Taylor got the benefit of the doubt in general. In the first go round Taylor did well out of the gate, but it didn’t take long for Serrano to pile up the rounds thru 6 frames. Rounds 7 to 9 Taylor made a run no doubt about it. It was the tenth round given to Taylor by all three judge’s that was head scratcher.
It appeared the harder punches were landed by Serrano. And yes, the judges score round by round but in a tight fight when a fighter is hurt as bad as Taylor was it’s hard not to see a draw or outright win for Amanda. The second affair was it bit more back and forth as far as the rounds go. Judging a fight is subjective and to an extent so is compubox punch stats. In fight one according to compubox, Serrano edged Taylor 173-147 with Katie landing at a 39 percent clip to Amanda’s almost 28 percent.
We must admit the stats can be misleading or at times not all that accurate depending on the angles. That said in the rematch Serrano landed 324 punches to Taylor’s 217 and this time Amanda had a 44 to 41 landing percentage. Again, these stats are not the be all end all just a sampling to help sort the outcome for a close round or close fight overall. What these punch stats do tell us is be ready for another outstanding display of skill and will.
Katie is a very live dog no matter however you or I scored these 2 wars. Currently Taylor is sitting around +120 to +143 whereas Serrano is a –150 to –175 favorite. Great boxing mind John Einreinhofer has a regular segment on The Rope A Dope Radio Podcast. He suggested putting a flyer out on a stoppage for Friday’s main event. Serrano by KO is at least +500 and over +600 on some sites. Taylor is around a +800 for knockout. It’s worth a flyer with a little money down but my prediction is a decision victory. So, my betting advice is Serrano –108 or Taylor +191 by decision.
My Official Prediction is Amanda Serrano by Majority Decision.
PODCAST LINK: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-rope-a-dope-radio-podcast/id1794655742?i=1000716415564
Side Note: On DAZN PPV for Saturday My Picks: Sheeraz, Stevenson, Morrell, & Puello.
Written by Chris Carlson Host/Producer of The Rope A Dope Radio Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Spreaker, I-Heart Radio, Amazon Podcasts, Google Podcasts & More! Follow on Twitter @RopeADopeRadio
Click here to view a list of other articles written by Chris Carlson.
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