Beterbiev vs. Smith: Age and Inactivity
By Chris Carlson
PhilBoxing.com
Sat, 13 Jan 2024
When Artur Beterbiev and Callum Smith meet in the ring on Saturday, age and inactivity will play a major role in the outcome. Artur is 38 years old and hasn’t step through the ropes in almost a year. Callum Smith is no spring chicken having turned pro in 2012 and also hasn’t fought since the summer of 2022. On top of that Callum has just two bouts since his loss to Canelo Alvarez all the way back in late 2020. Style wise, Callum will be fighting from the outside. Facing a heavy handed puncher like Beterbiev, Smith will need to be as sharp as a knife with an obsidian blade and doesn’t bode well with needing to get the rust off during the fight. This main event along with the rest of the card will be broadcasted on ESPN+.
Last January Anthony Yarde’s performance against Artur Beterbiev was admirable. Both men landed their share of bombs especially with the right hand, which eventually halted the action in the 8th round. Beterbiev has only fought 4 times since dispatching Oleksandr Gvozdyk in a great two-way battle. Beterbiev is an aggressive boxer to say the least and he does get hit plenty on his way inside in an attempt at landing a power punch to close the show. Can Callum Smith stay out of range on the outside while scoring enough points to win rounds on the judge’s scorecards?
When answering that question we can’t just assume that simply landing a jab or 1-2 would be enough to win this fight. Sure Callum can win rounds but the important part of landing on Beterbiev is gaining his respect. In all honesty Gvozdyk was looking very accurate landing double digit punches in all but one of the first six rounds. In the last 4 rounds he landed double digits just one time before getting stopped.
Let’s start with the 5-inch reach advantage for Callum Smith. Using that length with an active jab while landing enough power shots will be a must for Smith. Callum can’t fall in love with combinations especially 3 or 4 punches in a row which would leave him susceptible to more incoming damage. Smith is very good at punching with his opponent but a catch and shoot strategy plays into the hands of Beterbiev. Back to those 2-punch combos, Callum does a good job of mixing them up. At times a lead right-left hook while other combos feature a left hook-right upper cut.
Smith is a good body puncher but you don’t generally see the taller boxer going downstairs all that much let alone versus a thudding puncher. Even before the loss to Canelo, Jon Ryder set a blueprint by using aggression to consistently back Smith on the ropes. Callum has a bad habit of shelling up and leaning on the ropes or in the corner rather than tying up or finding the exit to escape. Ryder also fights in a similar pattern as Artur by changing levels when attacking. It will be up to Callum to identify Beterbiev dropping levels before letting loose with homerun hitters as a tell and timing him at that moment which is easier said than done obviously.
While raging forward Artur has an underrated jab and short compact powerful punches. Beterbiev is craftier than giving credit for, not just a cave man like some claim. For example the way he turns his jab into a left hook is proof he’s skillful. As previously mentioned he can be hit with the same punch repeatedly but to be fair so can Callum Smith. At some point in his career Artur will fall off the cliff and get old over night as the old saying goes. This boxing podcaster believes that’s the only way Callum Smith will win this fight.
My Official Prediction is Artur Beterbiev by late stoppage.
PODCAST LINK: http://tobtr.com/12304996
Written by Chris Carlson Host/Producer of The Rope A Dope Radio Podcast Available www.blogtalkradio.com/ropeadoperadio Follow on Twitter @RopeADopeRadio
Click here to view a list of other articles written by Chris Carlson.
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