JAUREGUI VS SUICO -- AN ANALYSIS
By Dong Secuya
PhilBoxing.com
Wed, 28 Sep 2005
In the light of the ongoing debate as to whether Filipino prospect Randy "Komong Bato" Suico won or lost his fight against Mexican Javier "Chatito" Jauregui, I offer the following analysis.
Rounds 1 to 4 should easily go to Jauregui because Randy had very limited punch output during these rounds. It was also in these rounds where Jauregui was very effective in his one-two counter combos and cleanly hit with his overhand rights.
Rounds 5 and 6 were close rounds -- close in a sense that there were no clear hits by both fighters -- and the rounds could go either way depending on the angle of the judge. The rounds could also be declared draws.
Rounds 7 to 10 should all go to Randy (in my view) because Randy had dictated the tempo beginning in round 7 and Jauregui had clearly begun to run away and sustained his running in most of these rounds and at some point even sprinted going backwards. It was very clear during these rounds that Jauregui had decided not to engage anymore with Suico. Suico had also connected with some good combinations but just couln't finish off the wily Mexican because Jauregui was always out of reach. Though Jauregui had connected with some good solitary counters of his own at some point, these were not enough to win rounds in my view because the aggresiveness and ring generalship all went to Suico during these rounds.
So if you're a homecourt judge and score rounds 5 and 6 to Jauregui, the score could be 96-94 in favor to the Mexican.
If you try to be objective, you may score 5 and 6 draws to make the score 95-95.
If the fight was held in Suico's homecourt, a couple of judges may score 5 and 6 in favor of Suico to make Suico the winner, 96-94.
Now, Judge Chuck Hassett scored the bout a 95-95 draw which I think was closer to reality.
MannyPacquiao.ph writer Winchell Campos had it 95-95 draw as well.
Salven Lagumbay, who wrote a controversial piece saying Suico should have won by a point or two, may have viewed the fight with a mentality of Suico's homecourt judge.
The two other judges of the bout however, Judges Ray Corona and Jack Reiss, scored an identical 99-91 win for Jauregui, giving round 10 as Suico's only win. I find these scoring to be most inept and despicable as they were probably asleep in rounds 7, 8 and 9 when, if the bout was held any other place, a referee could have stopped the contest altogether because Jauregui had already refused to do battle.
When Salven Lagumbay had recommended that the two referees should go attend to one of the upcoming WBC-sanctioned refresher courses in judging boxing bouts, I wholeheartedly concur.
Now many in Pacland felt that Suico clearly lost the fight and had a big letdown of Suico's performance.
A couple of things here. One, most Suico-watchers were expecting Suico to overwhelm his opponent and when he never came close of doing it, they felt a big letdown and some even concluded that Suico had no more future in boxing and was destined to become a journeyman. Two, on the other side of the coin, Suico had never expected Jauregui to run like mad. What he was expecting, based on what he had seen on tape, was a Jauregui who will engage to do battle early on. This was probaly the reason why he looked hesitant in the early rounds because he was actually waiting and expecting for his opponent to initiate the attack. It was probably in rounds 5 or 6 that he felt he need to change strategy in order to win. But the low punch output and the look of hesitation on Suico in the early rounds may have left a enduring impression on most observers that they had completely overlooked what went on in rounds 7 to 10.
If you only view rounds 7 - 10 of the fight, clearly it was a no contest and you will wonder why the other guy is even on the ring. Also, the way Jauregui sprinted and laterally slipped from Suico during these rounds it would probably be easier to beat Alex Pagulayan in a pool game than pin down Jauregui and KO him.
Yes, Jauregui may have won the bout close, but knowing the proud history of Mexican fighters, in all honesty it was a win you cannot be proud of -- because Jauregui won by not engaging in battle but was just happy to survive.
Click here to view a list of other articles written by Dong Secuya.
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